Will Gay Marriage Win Big in November?


It's on the ballot and polling well in four blue states

When Americans have had a chance to vote on gay marriage, they've usually opposed it. That happened most famously in California in 2008, when Proposition 8 overturned gay marriage in the liberal-leaning state. In May, North Carolina voters amended the state constitution to ban both gay marriage and civil unions.   
But we could see that trend reversed in 2012, suggests Molly Ball at the Atlantic, since four blue states are voting on gay marriage ballot measures in November.
Polling shows 55% favor it in Maine (compared to 36% against), 54% in Maryland, 49% in Minnesota, and 51% in Washington. The measure in ME would establish same-sex marriage for the first time, while measures in MD and WA aim at reversing laws that made gay marriage legal.
Nationally, the tide has turned rapidly in favor of gay marriage, with half now saying they support it - up from only 27% in 1996.
However, in the past, gay marriage has looked set for victory in pre-election night polls, only to lose out when voters actually vote.

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